Msida St Joseph vs Mgarr United FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
62.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Msida St Joseph
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
ZAB
1 - 0
MSI
74%
17%
9%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
MSI
2 - 0
MAR
15%
19%
65%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +2 |
| 13 Dec. 2023 |
MSI
5 - 1
XAG
85%
11%
4%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
MSI
0 - 2
TAR
13%
19%
69%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
PIE
1 - 0
MSI
78%
14%
9%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Mgarr United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2024 |
MGA
3 - 1
SAN
57%
22%
22%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
VIT
4 - 3
MGA
21%
22%
57%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
MGA
2 - 2
QOR
84%
11%
5%
|
52 | 29 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
KIR
0 - 1
MGA
12%
19%
69%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MGA
6 - 0
DIN
88%
9%
3%
|
52 | 27 | 25 | 0 |