Cape Town City FC vs Free State Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.8%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
41.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cape Town City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
PIR
1 - 0
MPU
66%
22%
12%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
MPU
1 - 1
PLS
37%
30%
33%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
MPU
0 - 0
GOL
28%
30%
43%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
COS
2 - 1
MPU
42%
29%
29%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
MPU
2 - 1
SWA
29%
28%
43%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
FRE
3 - 1
GOL
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
COS
0 - 0
FRE
26%
30%
44%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
FRE
0 - 1
SWA
56%
24%
21%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
SUN
1 - 1
FRE
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
FRE
1 - 1
AJA
48%
25%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |