Mpheni Home Defenders vs Hungry Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
77.6%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.6%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
10.1%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mpheni Home Defenders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CHI
2 - 0
MHD
80%
14%
6%
|
9 | 64 | 55 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MHD
3 - 0
JPM
40%
22%
38%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Hungry Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
BAR
1 - 1
HLF
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
MAR
4 - 2
HLF
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
HLF
1 - 1
UCF
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 27 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
JDR
1 - 0
HLF
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
PRE
0 - 1
HLF
49%
25%
27%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |