Moyola Park vs Tobermore United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
9.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
4º
7º
5º
25
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 39 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
|
5º
|
29 | 32 |
5º
|
80.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 28 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 27 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 23 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
75% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 18 |
11º
|
88.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
98.5% | 32% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1.5% | 68% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moyola Park
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
LIS
1 - 0
MOY
37%
24%
39%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
MOY
3 - 0
ARC
39%
24%
37%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +3 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
MOY
1 - 5
LIN
7%
14%
79%
|
40 | 70 | 30 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
MOY
0 - 3
BRF
28%
24%
49%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
PSN
2 - 6
MOY
24%
21%
56%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Tobermore United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
TOB
0 - 2
BRF
10%
18%
71%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
LIS
1 - 2
TOB
75%
15%
10%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
POR
2 - 0
TOB
74%
15%
10%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
TOB
1 - 1
QUB
17%
20%
64%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ARC
0 - 4
TOB
84%
11%
5%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | +2 |