Moyola Park vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
52.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moyola Park
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
PSN
7 - 0
MOY
71%
17%
12%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
MOY
1 - 1
SYL
28%
23%
49%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
WAK
0 - 3
MOY
13%
20%
67%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
MOY
1 - 0
GLE
71%
17%
11%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
TOB
0 - 1
MOY
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2016 |
BAL
3 - 3
INS
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2016 |
INS
1 - 2
BAL
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
BAL
1 - 0
INS
31%
25%
43%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2016 |
LIS
0 - 4
INS
10%
17%
73%
|
52 | 23 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
INS
1 - 2
ARD
36%
26%
38%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |