Moyola Park vs Belfast Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
16.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moyola Park
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
POR
0 - 1
MOY
17%
19%
64%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
QUB
6 - 1
MOY
66%
18%
16%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
MOY
5 - 0
OSF
83%
11%
6%
|
42 | 17 | 25 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
MOY
2 - 3
DER
41%
24%
35%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
MOY
1 - 0
STJ
76%
14%
10%
|
43 | 14 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Belfast Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
POR
0 - 1
BCE
48%
22%
31%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
BCE
2 - 1
OSF
63%
19%
18%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BCE
0 - 3
BAN
6%
11%
83%
|
26 | 51 | 25 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 0
BCE
76%
15%
9%
|
26 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
LAR
8 - 0
BCE
88%
9%
3%
|
27 | 67 | 40 | -1 |