Moyola Park vs Armagh City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
36.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
4º
7º
5º
17
9º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 39 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
|
5º
|
29 | 32 |
5º
|
80.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 28 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 27 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 23 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
75% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 18 |
11º
|
88.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
98.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1.5% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moyola Park
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
MOY
1 - 5
LIN
7%
14%
79%
|
40 | 70 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
MOY
0 - 3
BRF
28%
24%
49%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
PSN
2 - 6
MOY
24%
21%
56%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
MOY
2 - 2
LIM
27%
24%
49%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
MOY
4 - 1
POR
30%
24%
47%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +3 |
Matches
Armagh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
POR
5 - 0
ARC
51%
23%
25%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
DOL
4 - 0
ARC
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ARC
0 - 4
TOB
84%
11%
5%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
BAN
3 - 1
ARC
62%
20%
18%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2022 |
ARC
2 - 1
LIM
37%
25%
38%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |