Moutier vs Timau Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
23.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
FCK
1 - 1
MOU
43%
22%
36%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
MOU
2 - 2
DOR
48%
24%
28%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
ACM
0 - 2
MOU
6%
11%
83%
|
27 | 8 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
MOU
1 - 0
TAV
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
MOU
2 - 0
BER
85%
10%
5%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Timau Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
TIM
0 - 2
FCP
70%
16%
14%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
LER
3 - 2
TIM
37%
21%
42%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
TIM
3 - 5
ALL
51%
20%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
TAV
1 - 4
TIM
32%
22%
46%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
TIM
3 - 2
BIN
46%
21%
34%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |