Moutier vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.5%
1-0
1.3%
2-1
0.9%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
2.5%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.6%
88.3%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
14.1%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.9%
0-4
10.9%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
14.5%
0-5
6.8%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.2%
-5
8.6%
0-6
3.5%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
4.3%
0-7
1.6%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.9%
0-8
0.6%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.7%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
BIN
0 - 1
MOU
57%
22%
22%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
MOU
0 - 3
TIM
57%
20%
24%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
FCK
1 - 1
MOU
43%
22%
36%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
MOU
2 - 2
DOR
48%
24%
28%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
ACM
0 - 2
MOU
6%
11%
83%
|
25 | 7 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
BAS
1 - 1
THU
68%
19%
14%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
THU
1 - 1
LUG
49%
25%
27%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
VEY
1 - 5
THU
1%
3%
96%
|
74 | 19 | 55 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
NEX
1 - 5
THU
46%
24%
30%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
STG
3 - 2
THU
38%
25%
37%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |