Moutier vs Muttenz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
20.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
BUM
2 - 3
MOU
19%
21%
60%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
MOU
1 - 0
BER
45%
23%
32%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ALL
3 - 1
MOU
65%
19%
16%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
MOU
3 - 2
BIN
45%
23%
32%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
FCK
0 - 0
MOU
44%
22%
34%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Muttenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
MUT
1 - 3
LAN
17%
20%
63%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
TIM
2 - 3
MUT
73%
15%
12%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
MUT
5 - 1
GRU
78%
13%
9%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
LER
2 - 1
MUT
69%
17%
14%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
MUT
3 - 3
FCP
32%
22%
46%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |