Moutier vs Lyss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
32.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2013 |
MOU
0 - 2
POR
59%
21%
20%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
MOU
2 - 2
CON
10%
17%
73%
|
24 | 52 | 28 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2013 |
LIE
3 - 1
MOU
36%
23%
41%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
MOU
4 - 1
LAU
70%
18%
13%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
MOU
3 - 0
FCW
82%
12%
6%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Lyss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 5
LYS
50%
22%
28%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
LYS
6 - 3
ALL
63%
19%
18%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
COL
2 - 0
LYS
24%
21%
55%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
LYS
8 - 0
FCW
86%
10%
5%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
FCT
1 - 5
LYS
12%
17%
71%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | 0 |