Moutier vs Liestal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
48.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
MUT
2 - 1
MOU
59%
20%
22%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
MOU
1 - 0
COR
52%
21%
27%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
SUB
1 - 7
MOU
14%
19%
67%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
MOU
1 - 4
FCK
56%
21%
23%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
MOU
1 - 3
THU
3%
9%
88%
|
26 | 73 | 47 | 0 |
Matches
Liestal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
LIE
5 - 1
FCP
82%
11%
7%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
LER
2 - 5
LIE
22%
20%
59%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
LIE
1 - 3
ALL
52%
21%
27%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
TAV
3 - 0
LIE
13%
16%
71%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | -3 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
MUT
4 - 4
LIE
28%
21%
51%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |