Moutier vs Liestal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
17.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
LAU
1 - 2
MOU
22%
22%
56%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MOU
4 - 2
ALL
77%
14%
9%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
MOU
1 - 1
FCC
75%
15%
10%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
POR
2 - 2
MOU
20%
22%
59%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
MOU
0 - 4
FCG
51%
23%
27%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Liestal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
LIE
3 - 0
POR
57%
21%
21%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
BAS
5 - 1
LIE
60%
20%
20%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
LIE
3 - 0
ALL
31%
23%
46%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
COL
0 - 3
LIE
19%
20%
61%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
LIE
0 - 2
FCW
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | -1 |