Moutier vs Liestal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
52.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2010 |
DOR
1 - 4
MOU
83%
11%
6%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
MOU
0 - 0
KOS
34%
24%
43%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
FCH
1 - 6
MOU
29%
23%
48%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
LIE
3 - 1
MOU
73%
16%
11%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
BLA
0 - 1
MOU
74%
16%
10%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
Liestal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2010 |
LIE
3 - 1
NOB
59%
20%
21%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
FCT
0 - 1
LIE
42%
24%
35%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
LIE
1 - 0
ALL
56%
22%
23%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
LIE
3 - 1
MOU
73%
16%
11%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
LIE
1 - 1
KOS
59%
20%
21%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |