Moutier vs Lerchenfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
30.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2018 |
LIE
3 - 2
MOU
70%
16%
13%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
MOU
5 - 0
REI
65%
18%
17%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2018 |
MOU
2 - 1
FCK
46%
23%
31%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
TIM
2 - 0
MOU
45%
21%
34%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 May. 2018 |
TAV
3 - 3
MOU
47%
23%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lerchenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2018 |
LER
2 - 4
FCK
60%
20%
20%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
BIE
6 - 1
LER
86%
10%
4%
|
26 | 51 | 25 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
LER
1 - 2
BER
87%
9%
4%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
FCP
0 - 3
LER
27%
20%
53%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
LER
2 - 1
TAV
49%
22%
28%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +2 |