Moutier vs Langenthal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
58.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
FCC
2 - 3
MOU
30%
22%
48%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
MOU
3 - 2
WOH
48%
23%
29%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
TAV
2 - 2
MOU
34%
22%
44%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
MOU
0 - 1
POR
54%
23%
24%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2013 |
MOU
2 - 2
NEX
12%
20%
69%
|
23 | 67 | 44 | +1 |
Matches
Langenthal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
LAN
4 - 1
BAS
78%
14%
8%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
FCC
2 - 5
LAN
16%
20%
64%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
LAN
1 - 0
AAR
61%
20%
19%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
WOH
2 - 2
LAN
24%
22%
54%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
LAN
3 - 0
KUS
85%
10%
4%
|
37 | 14 | 23 | +1 |