Moutier vs Gränichen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
15%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2014 |
SCH
0 - 3
MOU
37%
23%
40%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
MOU
2 - 1
BAS
68%
18%
15%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
AAR
4 - 2
MOU
79%
13%
8%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
MOU
0 - 3
BER
37%
24%
39%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
BUM
2 - 3
MOU
49%
22%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Gränichen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2014 |
GRA
2 - 4
FCC
58%
21%
22%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
WOH
3 - 0
GRA
60%
20%
20%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
GRA
2 - 1
TAV
54%
22%
24%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
POR
2 - 1
GRA
49%
23%
28%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
GRA
3 - 2
LAN
12%
18%
70%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | +3 |