Moutier vs Therwil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
ALL
0 - 1
MOU
18%
20%
62%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
MOU
5 - 0
FCF
84%
12%
5%
|
31 | 9 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
ALL
2 - 3
MOU
40%
23%
37%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
MOU
0 - 0
NEX
50%
23%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
MOU
2 - 1
FCC
77%
15%
8%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Therwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
FCT
2 - 1
LYS
21%
22%
58%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
ALL
2 - 2
FCT
61%
21%
19%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
FCT
2 - 0
FCC
36%
24%
40%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
FCF
0 - 1
FCT
26%
24%
50%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |