Moutier vs Bôle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
8.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
POR
0 - 2
MOU
25%
22%
53%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
MOU
4 - 0
ALL
44%
24%
33%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
NEX
1 - 0
MOU
60%
20%
20%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
MOU
4 - 1
ALL
50%
23%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
BLA
5 - 1
MOU
62%
20%
18%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Bôle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
FCB
2 - 1
FCO
57%
22%
21%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2010 |
FCB
1 - 0
SEN
16%
21%
63%
|
13 | 34 | 21 | +3 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
FCB
1 - 1
FCS
78%
14%
8%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
TAV
0 - 3
FCB
63%
20%
17%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
FCB
2 - 2
ALL
15%
21%
64%
|
11 | 30 | 19 | +2 |