Moutier vs Dulliken analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.2%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.6%
6.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
DUR
1 - 1
MOU
19%
22%
59%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
WOH
1 - 1
MOU
34%
22%
44%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
MOU
4 - 0
LEN
61%
20%
20%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
THU
0 - 0
MOU
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
MOU
0 - 0
POR
77%
15%
9%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Dulliken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
DUL
0 - 1
WOH
22%
21%
56%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
LEN
2 - 3
DUL
78%
14%
9%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
THU
5 - 2
DUL
81%
12%
7%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
DUL
2 - 4
POR
39%
23%
38%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
LER
8 - 2
DUL
60%
20%
20%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |