Moutier vs Concordia Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
8.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
LAN
1 - 1
MOU
56%
21%
22%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
MOU
2 - 0
POR
75%
16%
9%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
MOU
1 - 2
DOR
60%
21%
19%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
TAV
0 - 3
MOU
21%
20%
59%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
MOU
2 - 2
BIN
66%
18%
17%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CON
3 - 4
TAV
58%
19%
23%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
BIN
2 - 0
CON
65%
18%
17%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
CON
0 - 3
BAS
38%
21%
41%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -2 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
KIR
1 - 1
CON
48%
21%
31%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
CON
2 - 7
LER
49%
21%
30%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -2 |