Moutier vs Concordia Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.4%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
72.8%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2013 |
LIE
3 - 1
MOU
36%
23%
41%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
MOU
4 - 1
LAU
70%
18%
13%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
MOU
3 - 0
FCW
82%
12%
6%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
ALL
3 - 1
MOU
33%
22%
45%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
FCC
0 - 1
MOU
28%
22%
51%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
CON
2 - 2
POR
89%
8%
3%
|
52 | 22 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 1
CON
12%
18%
70%
|
52 | 24 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
CON
8 - 0
ALL
88%
9%
4%
|
52 | 20 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
COL
1 - 4
CON
11%
17%
72%
|
52 | 17 | 35 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
CON
6 - 0
FCW
89%
8%
3%
|
52 | 14 | 38 | 0 |