Moutier vs Colombier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.2%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.3%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.1%
4.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
FCW
1 - 1
MOU
11%
17%
72%
|
31 | 13 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
MOU
3 - 2
FCT
83%
11%
6%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
MOU
3 - 2
FCO
85%
10%
5%
|
32 | 13 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
FCE
0 - 7
MOU
12%
17%
71%
|
32 | 12 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
MOU
4 - 2
LYS
69%
18%
14%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Colombier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
COL
2 - 1
POR
18%
21%
61%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 0
COL
83%
12%
5%
|
12 | 32 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
COL
0 - 5
SIO
7%
15%
78%
|
12 | 78 | 66 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2010 |
COL
1 - 2
TER
14%
20%
67%
|
13 | 38 | 25 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
FCM
5 - 0
COL
77%
15%
8%
|
13 | 32 | 19 | 0 |