Moutier vs Allschwil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
27.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
BLA
5 - 1
MOU
62%
20%
18%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
MOU
2 - 1
LIE
25%
23%
52%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2010 |
DOR
1 - 4
MOU
83%
11%
6%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
MOU
0 - 0
KOS
34%
24%
43%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
FCH
1 - 6
MOU
29%
23%
48%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Allschwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
ALL
2 - 0
FCO
76%
16%
9%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
FCB
2 - 6
ALL
18%
22%
60%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | -1 |