Moutier vs Aarau II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
44.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
BER
2 - 0
MOU
47%
23%
30%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
MOU
3 - 2
BUM
62%
20%
19%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
ALL
0 - 4
MOU
43%
23%
34%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
MOU
5 - 2
OST
66%
18%
16%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
MOU
1 - 3
LAN
20%
22%
58%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
AAR
6 - 1
FCC
82%
11%
7%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
WOH
1 - 2
AAR
25%
22%
53%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
AAR
3 - 1
TAV
85%
10%
5%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
POR
1 - 3
AAR
29%
23%
48%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
AAR
1 - 2
GRA
78%
13%
9%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |