Mouscron vs Tournai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
6.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
MOU
1 - 0
GEA
73%
17%
10%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
EXC
0 - 0
MOU
30%
27%
44%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
MOU
4 - 0
BLE
75%
16%
9%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
OLS
0 - 2
MOU
28%
25%
48%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
MOU
1 - 0
VER
78%
15%
7%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Tournai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BLE
0 - 1
TOU
72%
17%
12%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
TOU
2 - 1
GEA
25%
25%
51%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | +4 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
RAC
3 - 2
TOU
68%
20%
12%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
BER
1 - 1
TOU
80%
13%
7%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
TOU
1 - 0
EXC
15%
22%
63%
|
23 | 52 | 29 | +1 |