Mouscron vs Heist analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
9.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
MOU
1 - 0
ANT
65%
21%
15%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
EEA
2 - 3
MOU
21%
25%
53%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
DES
0 - 5
MOU
25%
26%
49%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
MOU
2 - 1
WSB
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
KSV
1 - 1
MOU
29%
26%
45%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Heist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
HEI
2 - 1
HOO
38%
25%
38%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
HEI
1 - 1
GEE
48%
24%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
EEA
2 - 0
HEI
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
HEI
2 - 7
ANT
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
DES
1 - 0
HEI
46%
25%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |