Moura vs Sporting Viana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
MOU
1 - 2
LOU
44%
27%
30%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
FAR
1 - 0
MOU
68%
21%
11%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
MOU
0 - 0
PIN
43%
27%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ARM
1 - 2
MOU
12%
18%
70%
|
41 | 17 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
MOU
2 - 1
ALJ
62%
22%
16%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Viana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
VIA
1 - 2
ALJ
45%
22%
33%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
LOU
2 - 1
VIA
68%
18%
14%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
VIA
1 - 2
ALM
30%
22%
48%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
FAR
5 - 0
VIA
82%
14%
5%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
VIA
3 - 3
LUS
28%
21%
50%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |