Moura vs Real Sport Clube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
58.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
LOU
2 - 2
MOU
52%
25%
24%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
ALM
0 - 1
MOU
36%
25%
39%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
AMO
2 - 0
MOU
44%
26%
31%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
MOU
2 - 0
RED
88%
9%
3%
|
40 | 9 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 1
MOU
59%
22%
18%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Real Sport Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
REA
1 - 1
IDE
83%
12%
5%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
IDE
0 - 2
REA
20%
24%
56%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
OLH
2 - 0
REA
25%
26%
49%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
REA
1 - 1
1DE
76%
16%
8%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
RED
0 - 2
REA
7%
19%
74%
|
51 | 9 | 42 | 0 |