Moura vs Quarteirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
LOU
1 - 0
MOU
55%
24%
21%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
ANG
1 - 1
MOU
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
MOU
0 - 3
ALJ
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 1
MOU
33%
27%
40%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
MOU
0 - 1
OPE
34%
25%
41%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Quarteirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
QUA
0 - 3
ANG
25%
25%
50%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 0
QUA
45%
24%
31%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
QUA
0 - 0
FER
33%
24%
44%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
PRA
2 - 2
QUA
64%
21%
15%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
QUA
0 - 1
LOU
29%
27%
44%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |