Moura vs Praiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2014 |
NAC
3 - 0
MOU
88%
10%
3%
|
45 | 79 | 34 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
MOU
5 - 0
ALM
77%
15%
8%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
EDL
0 - 2
MOU
23%
24%
53%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
MOU
3 - 2
UNI
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
COV
2 - 3
MOU
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Praiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
SIN
3 - 3
PRA
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
PRA
2 - 0
OPE
36%
25%
39%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 0
PRA
54%
24%
22%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
IDE
5 - 0
PRA
35%
24%
41%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
PRA
6 - 0
OEL
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |