Moura vs Pinhalnovense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
50%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 0
MOU
76%
16%
8%
|
33 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
MOU
0 - 2
JUV
45%
24%
31%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
SER
2 - 1
MOU
64%
21%
16%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
MOU
0 - 2
MAF
24%
25%
51%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 0
MOU
75%
16%
10%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Pinhalnovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
PIN
1 - 0
JUV
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
MAF
1 - 1
PIN
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
PIN
2 - 0
CAL
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
EVN
0 - 2
PIN
38%
26%
37%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
PIN
1 - 0
1DE
61%
22%
18%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |