Moura vs Operário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
30.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+71%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
LOU
2 - 1
MOU
40%
27%
33%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
MOU
3 - 1
ALM
47%
26%
27%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
1 - 1
MOU
42%
23%
35%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
MOU
0 - 2
ARM
44%
27%
29%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
FAR
1 - 0
MOU
75%
17%
8%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Operário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
OPE
0 - 1
OLH
20%
24%
56%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
OPE
1 - 2
LOU
55%
23%
22%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ALM
1 - 2
OPE
46%
24%
30%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
OPE
1 - 1
58%
20%
22%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
ARM
1 - 1
OPE
47%
22%
31%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |