Moura vs Mafra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
50.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 0
MOU
75%
16%
10%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MOU
1 - 0
CAL
31%
25%
44%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
MON
2 - 0
MOU
49%
23%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
EVN
2 - 1
MOU
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
MOU
0 - 3
ATL
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Mafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
MAF
3 - 3
CAL
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
EVN
0 - 1
MAF
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
MAF
1 - 0
1DE
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
MAF
1 - 0
ORI
31%
27%
42%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
TOU
1 - 0
MAF
23%
25%
52%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |