Moura vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
22.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
MON
1 - 3
MOU
25%
22%
53%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
IDE
3 - 0
MOU
25%
27%
49%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
MOU
4 - 1
EVN
62%
22%
16%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 2
MOU
62%
22%
17%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
MOU
2 - 1
PIN
38%
28%
35%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
LUS
2 - 0
OPE
34%
25%
41%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
LOU
2 - 1
LUS
59%
22%
18%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
LUS
1 - 0
ALM
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
LUS
1 - 2
OLI
49%
22%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
LUS
0 - 0
ARM
40%
23%
37%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |