Moura vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
19.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
PRA
2 - 0
MOU
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
QUA
0 - 1
MOU
32%
27%
41%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
MOU
0 - 1
LOU
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
MOU
4 - 1
ANG
52%
23%
24%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MOU
0 - 2
VIT
11%
19%
71%
|
44 | 78 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
LUS
1 - 0
PRA
36%
25%
39%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
LUS
1 - 0
QUA
54%
22%
24%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
LUS
2 - 2
ANG
39%
25%
36%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
LUS
2 - 1
OPE
23%
24%
53%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | +3 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 2
LUS
57%
21%
22%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |