Moura vs Louletano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
37.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+71%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
MOU
1 - 0
GFC
10%
20%
70%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
ALM
2 - 0
MOU
41%
26%
33%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
MOU
3 - 0
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
FER
2 - 3
MOU
36%
24%
40%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
ARM
1 - 0
MOU
40%
23%
37%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Louletano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
PRA
2 - 0
LOU
60%
23%
17%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
LOU
3 - 3
OPE
39%
26%
34%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
OLH
1 - 0
LOU
62%
22%
17%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
LOU
1 - 1
FCC
65%
20%
14%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
ALM
1 - 2
LOU
35%
26%
39%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |