Moura vs Louletano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
30%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
FAR
1 - 0
MOU
68%
21%
11%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
MOU
0 - 0
PIN
43%
27%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ARM
1 - 2
MOU
12%
18%
70%
|
41 | 17 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
MOU
2 - 1
ALJ
62%
22%
16%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ALM
0 - 1
MOU
53%
24%
24%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Louletano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
LOU
2 - 1
VIA
68%
18%
14%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
LOU
1 - 1
FAR
17%
24%
59%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
PIN
1 - 0
LOU
43%
26%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
LOU
2 - 1
ARM
83%
12%
5%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ALJ
2 - 2
LOU
28%
26%
46%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -1 |