Moura vs Louletano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
24.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
UNI
3 - 3
MOU
51%
23%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
MOU
3 - 0
ALM
83%
12%
6%
|
37 | 15 | 22 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
SOU
2 - 1
MOU
33%
26%
41%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -3 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
FCB
0 - 0
MOU
81%
13%
6%
|
39 | 63 | 24 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
MOU
0 - 0
VAS
76%
15%
9%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Louletano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
LOU
2 - 0
PRA
26%
25%
49%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
LOU
0 - 1
FER
57%
22%
21%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
LOU
0 - 1
PIN
33%
27%
40%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 1
LOU
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
1DE
1 - 0
LOU
58%
23%
19%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |