Moura vs Lagos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
14.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
QUA
0 - 3
MOU
43%
26%
31%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
MOU
4 - 0
COV
23%
24%
53%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | +3 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
MOU
2 - 1
PIN
35%
26%
39%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
FER
3 - 2
MOU
39%
24%
37%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
MOU
1 - 3
LOU
51%
24%
25%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
LAG
0 - 2
FER
46%
23%
31%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
LOU
2 - 3
LAG
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
LAG
0 - 3
RIO
7%
16%
77%
|
33 | 75 | 42 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
LAG
2 - 2
UNI
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ALM
1 - 1
LAG
19%
23%
58%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |