Moura vs FC Castrense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+71%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ORI
3 - 0
MOU
62%
22%
16%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
MOU
2 - 0
LUS
53%
25%
22%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
MON
1 - 3
MOU
25%
22%
53%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
IDE
3 - 0
MOU
25%
27%
49%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -3 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
MOU
4 - 1
EVN
62%
22%
16%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
FC Castrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
FCC
3 - 5
OPE
28%
23%
49%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
LOU
4 - 1
FCC
74%
16%
10%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
FCC
1 - 1
ALM
46%
23%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
3 - 1
FCC
62%
20%
19%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
FCC
1 - 2
ARM
32%
23%
45%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |