Moura vs FC Barreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
55.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
MOU
3 - 1
LAG
67%
18%
15%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
QUA
0 - 3
MOU
43%
26%
31%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
MOU
4 - 0
COV
23%
24%
53%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | +3 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
MOU
2 - 1
PIN
35%
26%
39%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
FER
3 - 2
MOU
39%
24%
37%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
FC Barreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
FER
2 - 1
FCB
17%
23%
61%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
FCB
1 - 1
LOU
82%
13%
5%
|
58 | 33 | 25 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 1
FCB
17%
22%
61%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
FCB
5 - 0
ALM
84%
11%
5%
|
58 | 18 | 40 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
PIN
1 - 1
FCB
19%
24%
57%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |