Moura vs Fatima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
54.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
TOU
1 - 0
MOU
52%
23%
25%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
MOU
2 - 2
PIN
25%
25%
50%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 0
MOU
76%
16%
8%
|
33 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
MOU
0 - 2
JUV
45%
24%
31%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
SER
2 - 1
MOU
64%
21%
16%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
FAT
1 - 0
PIN
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
JUV
3 - 1
FAT
23%
25%
52%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
FAT
1 - 1
MAF
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CAL
0 - 3
FAT
29%
27%
44%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
FAT
2 - 1
EVN
70%
19%
12%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |