Moura vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
VIA
1 - 1
MOU
29%
23%
48%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
LOU
1 - 0
MOU
31%
27%
42%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
MOU
0 - 0
FAR
18%
26%
56%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MOU
0 - 4
AVE
14%
23%
64%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
PIN
0 - 0
MOU
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
FAB
1 - 4
LOU
49%
24%
27%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
FAR
1 - 0
FAB
78%
16%
7%
|
33 | 55 | 22 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
FAB
0 - 1
PIN
43%
25%
32%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
LUS
2 - 0
FAB
49%
23%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ARM
4 - 0
FAB
8%
14%
79%
|
39 | 12 | 27 | -3 |