Moura vs Esperança de Lagos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
48.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
LGC
2 - 1
MOU
75%
14%
11%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
LOU
1 - 0
MOU
72%
17%
11%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
MOU
1 - 3
MON
64%
19%
17%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
MOU
1 - 3
VST
9%
22%
70%
|
27 | 64 | 37 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
AMO
1 - 0
MOU
66%
19%
16%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Esperança de Lagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
EDL
0 - 1
JUV
68%
17%
15%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
EDL
2 - 3
AMO
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
MON
1 - 2
EDL
25%
21%
55%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
VST
1 - 1
EDL
77%
16%
6%
|
31 | 66 | 35 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
EDL
3 - 0
ALJ
72%
16%
12%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |