Moura vs Cova Piedade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
51.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 1
MOU
62%
23%
15%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
MOU
0 - 0
1DE
37%
28%
35%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
MOU
1 - 0
LUS
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 0
MOU
31%
26%
43%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MOU
2 - 1
FCC
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Cova Piedade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
1DE
0 - 1
COV
33%
24%
42%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
COV
2 - 0
BEN
34%
26%
40%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
FCB
0 - 2
COV
33%
25%
42%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
COV
2 - 0
JUV
71%
19%
10%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 2
COV
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |