Moura vs Casa Pia AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
54.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+71%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
PIN
2 - 1
MOU
51%
25%
24%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
MOU
2 - 1
MON
66%
19%
15%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
OLH
2 - 1
MOU
67%
20%
13%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
MOU
0 - 0
POR
5%
13%
81%
|
41 | 70 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
OPE
1 - 3
MOU
56%
24%
20%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 0
OPE
70%
18%
12%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
LOU
0 - 1
CAS
27%
27%
46%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 0
ALM
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 1
CAS
25%
25%
50%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
1 - 1
CAS
14%
24%
63%
|
53 | 29 | 24 | 0 |