Moura vs Angrense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
24.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MOU
0 - 2
VIT
11%
19%
71%
|
46 | 79 | 33 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ALJ
1 - 1
MOU
20%
25%
56%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
MOU
1 - 0
ATL
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MOU
2 - 0
MON
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
OPE
1 - 0
MOU
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Angrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 2
ANG
38%
26%
37%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ANG
1 - 2
FER
45%
24%
31%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ANG
0 - 1
VIT
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
PRA
0 - 1
ANG
51%
24%
26%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ANG
2 - 1
LOU
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |