Moura vs Aljustrelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
17.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
ANG
2 - 1
MOU
48%
26%
27%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
FER
0 - 2
MOU
37%
27%
36%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
MOU
1 - 1
ATL
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
LUS
1 - 0
MOU
42%
27%
31%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
MOU
2 - 1
QUA
64%
22%
14%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Aljustrelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
ALJ
0 - 2
ATL
40%
25%
35%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
LUS
6 - 0
ALJ
55%
23%
22%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ALJ
2 - 1
QUA
53%
24%
23%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
PRA
1 - 1
ALJ
56%
22%
22%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
FER
1 - 1
ALJ
48%
24%
28%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |