Moura vs 1º Dezembro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
29.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+71%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
LOU
4 - 1
MOU
53%
24%
23%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
MOU
1 - 5
ORI
22%
24%
54%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
FAT
2 - 0
MOU
72%
18%
11%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MOU
2 - 1
TOU
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
PIN
3 - 0
MOU
66%
20%
14%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
1º Dezembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ORI
2 - 0
1DE
74%
17%
9%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
1DE
3 - 0
TOU
51%
24%
25%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
TOR
1 - 1
1DE
74%
17%
9%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
1DE
1 - 0
SER
38%
26%
36%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 0
1DE
68%
19%
13%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |